Back To Projects

Predicting Dropouts Using Machine Learning Models

Viksar D.

High dropout rates in high schools and universities have become a major complication in many countries following the upsurge of the Covid 19 pandemic. With the accuracy provided, this model should be held in high regard as it serves as an efficient method for predicting possible college dropouts in university.


High dropout rates in high schools and universities have become a major complication in many countries following the upsurge of the Covid 19 pandemic. A student’s experience at school is one of, if not, the largest contributors to the likelihood that they drop out. However, with the growing quantity of students in school, and the sheer variety of those who drop out, manually pinpointing possible dropouts becomes extremely challenging. Therefore, by using a machine learning model, administrators would be able to more efficiently identify a possible dropout and provide the necessary resources to ensure their success. The data, acquired from the UCI Machine Learning Depository, had 24 inputs, and 3630 samples. For this particular project, Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbors, Naive Bayes, Extra Trees Classifier, and an MLP Neural Network models were tested. Among these models, the most accurate was the Extra Trees Classifier model, with a percentage accuracy of 77.41%, a loss of 7.85, and an F1 score of 82.35%. With the accuracy provided, this model should be held in high regard as it serves as an efficient method for predicting possible college dropouts in university.

Explore More!

Project Webpage
Viksar D.
Eric Bradford
Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Masters from MIT, Technical PM at Apple

Related Projects

Detecting Facial Expressions

This paper shows that machine learning algorithms can be used in order to classify emotions into different categories. The most promising results were from the K-nearest neighbor model, with 61.5% accuracy in the training set, and 32.1% accuracy in the testing set.
Bertran M.
Mentored by Odysseas Drosis
Standardized Testing is it Really Effective?

How effective is standardized testing in assessing students' knowledge? With data from previous students on sat scores and GPAs from college and high school, I can use this data and plug it into different models to determine how well these sat scores determine GPA.
Rohan S.
Mentored by Christina Cheng
The Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on the Test Scores of Various Demographics

The research problem that this research paper attempts to address is, How did Covid impact and affect the test scores of different demographics of students in various schools in New York? The overall approach that was used to answer this question involved using statistical analysis to examine the correlation between how certain factors such as being economically disadvantaged or being hispanic affected student proficiency scores on New York State regents exam tests in 2018 and 2021 in different schools.
Deniz G.
Mentored by Kush Khosla